Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati 12/4/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Pittsburgh winning 57% of simulations, and Cincinnati 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Pittsburgh commits fewer turnovers in 51% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. Cincinnati wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Dion Lewis is averaging 100 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. Zach Collaros is averaging 264 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CIN +0

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